Byrne is, simply put, one of the best writers out there today. His insights:words ratio is off the charts, especially when the words themselves clock up easily north of 0.5m a year. Finance often attracts those attracted to figuring out the whole world, or at least de-dimensionalise it to something tractable. And Byrne manages to make this unconscionably fun by re-introducing all possible missing dimensions; and using it as the wedge to explore philosophy, religion, beauty pageants, lobster pots, whaling, blimps and much much more!
It's still early (using play money, only binary yes/no markets supported) but we're hoping that a really simple interface for individuals to ask questions will push the frontier on how people actually use these things. Let us know if you have any thoughts!
Woah, this interview has got to be the most ambitious crossover event in (econ Substack) history!
Re: prediction markets being weirdly underused - this is something I'm super curious about. So much that we built https://mantic.markets/, a prediction market interface where anyone can pose their own questions! Here's an example: https://mantic.markets/ManticMarkets/will-100-people-have-signed-up-for
It's still early (using play money, only binary yes/no markets supported) but we're hoping that a really simple interface for individuals to ask questions will push the frontier on how people actually use these things. Let us know if you have any thoughts!